The Tropical Depression has Strengthened into a Storm

Valid till 8 a.m. ON Oct. 19, 2023, Issued at 8 a.m. ON Oct. 18, 2023

According to the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting, this afternoon, October 18, the tropical depression in the coastal area of ​​Quang Tri - Quang Nam has strengthened into a storm. This is storm number 5 in 2023.

The National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting has issued an emergency storm bulletin for storm No. 5 of 2023.

Accordingly, at 1:00 p.m. on October 18, the storm's center was at about 17.4 degrees North latitude; 109.1 degrees East Longitude, in the southern sea of ​​Hainan Island (China), about 200 km east-northeast of the mainland of Quang Tri - Thua Thien Hue area. The strongest wind near the center of storm No. 5 is strong at level 8 (62 - 74 km/h), gusting at level 10.

The storm moves in the North-Northwest direction at a speed of about 10 km/h..

The meteorological agency warns that from the next 72 to 96 hours, the tropical depression will continue to move slowly to the South and continue to weaken.

Also due to the impact of storm No. 5, the sea area from Quang Tri to Quang Nam had strong winds of level 6-7, the area near the center of the storm was strong at level 8-9, with gusts of level 11, the sea was very rough. Sea waves were 2.0-4.0m high, in the waters of the Gulf of Tonkin (including Co To and Bach Long Vi) since early morning and on October 19, sea waves increased to 2.0-4.0m, then increased to 3.0m. ,0-5.0m.

In the Gulf of Tonkin area (including Co To and Bach Long Vi), from the night of October 18, the wind gradually increased to level 6-7, the area near the center of the storm was strong at level 8-9, gusting to level 11. The sea was very rough.

On the mainland, from early morning on October 20, the coastal area from Quang Ninh to Thai Binh had winds gradually increasing to level 6, gusting to level 7-8.

In addition, from the afternoon of October 18 to the morning of October 19, in the area from Quang Tri to Thua Thien Hue, there was moderate rain, heavy rain, and in some places very heavy rain. From the night of October 19, the Northern coastal region, the Southern Delta region, and the North Central region are likely to have moderate rain, with some places having heavy to very heavy rain; Heavy rain in the Mid-Central region gradually decreased.

The Northern weather forecast from the night of October 19 to 21 has the possibility of moderate rain, heavy rain, and in some places very heavy rain and thunderstorms. The nights and mornings are cold.

The North and Central Central regions have showers and thunderstorms, locally with heavy rain; Particularly in the Thanh Hoa-Nghe An area on October 19-20, there is a possibility of moderate rain, heavy rain, and in some places very heavy rain and thunderstorms.

Forecasted Storm Path
Forecasted Storm Path

Future of Forecast and Warning: Impact-based Forecasting and Warning (IbFW)

what the weather will be into what the weather will do

IbFW is a structured approach for combining hazard, exposure, and vulnerability data to identify risk and support decision-making, with the ultimate objective of encouraging early action that reduces damages and loss of life from natural hazards.

IbFW provides the information needed to minimize the socio-economic costs of weather and climate hazards. Organizations and individuals can make critical decisions to ensure that resources and supplies are in place to take early action and to respond as soon as it is safe to do so.

  • Impact-based forecasting drives actions which save lives and protect property and livelihoods.
  • Impact-based forecasting provides information on the level of risk a hazard poses to a specific area.
  • Impact-based forecasts and warnings provide an assessment of the forecast weather or climate hazard and an assessment of the possible impacts, including when, where and how likely the impacts are.

This ‘Decision Support System for Impact-based Forecast and Warning’ is developed through URBAN RESILIENCE TO CLIMATE EXTREMES IN SOUTHEAST ASIA (URCE) PROGRAM

Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC) with the support from Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad) implement a program titled “Urban Resilience to Climate Extremes in Southeast Asia (URCE)”. The program goal is to build ‘resilient communities in deltaic and coastal urban areas’ and strengthening resilience of the urban systems and urban communities to the current and emerging climate extremes, disasters and emergencies that are anticipated in the deltaic and coastal cities in Southeast Asia. The program is being implemented in My Tho City Viet Nam and also actively promote learning and exchange with other countries in Asia and the Pacific through several regional level endeavors under the program. The program started its inception phase (from 1st November 2018) for setting up implementation arrangements of the program activities in the two targeted Southeast Asian countries namely Myanmar and Viet Nam as well as making necessary refinement needed for the program implementation; and building regional level learning and exchanges in Southeast Asian countries. The five-year program timing is from 1st November 2018 to 31st October 2023.

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